Abstract：Objective To analyze of the pattern of spread of the Zika virus between populations and media, and evaluateg the effect of human intervention on the epidemics .Methods A kineticmodel of infectious diseases was established, followed by numerical simulation and sensitivity analysis of model parameters .Results Some factors, such as the number of infectious aedes, reproduction rate of aedes, effective contact rate were positively correlated with the number of patients. The effective contact rate was an important determinant of the severity of the epidemic..Conclusion Personal protection, environmental improvement, large-scale eradication of mosquitoes, and prevention of imported cases can help prevent and control the epidemic of the Zika fever.
王知其, 郭醉元, 王秀红. 寨卡病毒传播动力学模型的建立及人为干预措施效果的评价[J]. 解放军预防医学杂志, 2016, 34(5): 646-649.
WANG Zhiqi, GUO Zuiyuan, WANG Xiuhong. Kinetic Models of Zika Virus and Evaluation of Effect of Human Intervention. Journal of Preventive Medicine of Chinese People's Liberation Army, 2016, 34(5): 646-649.
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